Missouri State
W-L: (35-19) PR = 96.3055Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 8- 2 214 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 13-12 215 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 7- 9 217 A Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 11- 0 220 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 6- 2 221 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 6 222 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2- 3 224 H Oral Roberts SM ( 6-15, 91.0) 13- 1 227 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 8- 5 228 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 7- 5 228 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 9- 4 303 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 7- 7 306 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 12- 1 307 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 14- 5 308 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 13-12 310 A Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 4- 6, 93.6) 6-13 313 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 4- 3 314 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 12-11 315 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 3- 9 320 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 6- 4 321 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 14- 2 322 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (27-30, 93.4) 10- 9 324 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 16- 2 327 A Dallas Baptist 4- 5 328 A Dallas Baptist 8- 2 329 A Dallas Baptist 5- 8 331 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 15-14 403 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 9- 8 404 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 15- 5 405 H Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 12- 0 407 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 2- 3 410 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 14- 3 411 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 15-10 412 A Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 9- 6 417 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 15-10 418 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 8- 6 419 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 5-10 421 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 4-12 425 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 5- 6 426 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8- 9 428 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 6- 4 501 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 10- 2 502 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 2-10 503 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 4-11 508 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 14- 8 509 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 9- 1 510 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 7- 6 514 H Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 5- 9 515 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 5- 4 516 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 6-12 521 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 6- 4 522 H Dallas Baptist 9- 8 529 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 5- 9 530 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1- 5 530 H Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Louisiana 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.45
214 A Louisiana 13-12 1 1 0.45
215 A Louisiana 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.55
217 A Oral Roberts 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.32
220 H Stanford 6- 2 4 2 1.58
221 A Ole Miss 3- 6 -3 -2 -0.96
222 A Ole Miss 2- 3 -1 -2 1.04
224 H Oral Roberts 13- 1 12 6 ++ 5.97
227 H Little Rock 8- 5 3 3 -0.05
228 H Little Rock 7- 5 2 3 -1.05
228 H Little Rock 9- 4 5 3 1.95
303 H Saint Mary's 7- 7 0 2 - -2.41
306 A Stetson 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.13
307 H Memphis 14- 5 9 3 +++ 6.39
308 H Memphis 13-12 1 3 -1.61
310 A Southeast Missouri Sta 6-13 -7 2 --- -8.99
313 A Liberty 4- 3 1 -1 1.52
314 A Liberty 12-11 1 -1 1.52
315 A Liberty 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.48
320 H Middle Tennessee 6- 4 2 4 -1.55
321 A Western Kentucky 14- 2 12 1 +++ 10.72
322 H Middle Tennessee 10- 9 1 4 - -2.55
324 H Oklahoma State 16- 2 14 0 +++ 14.26
331 H Arkansas 15-14 1 -1 1.53
403 H Sam Houston 9- 8 1 4 - -2.54
404 H Sam Houston 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.46
405 H Sam Houston 12- 0 12 4 +++ 8.46
407 H Vanderbilt 2- 3 -1 0 -0.86
410 H UC Riverside 14- 3 11 7 + 3.62
411 A Delaware 15-10 5 3 1.51
412 A Delaware 9- 6 3 3 -0.49
417 H Western Kentucky 15-10 5 3 + 2.37
418 H Western Kentucky 8- 6 2 3 -0.63
419 H Western Kentucky 5-10 -5 3 --- -7.63
421 A Arkansas 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.11
425 A Louisiana Tech 5- 6 -1 1 -1.97
426 A Louisiana Tech 8- 9 -1 1 -1.97
428 A Eastern Michigan 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.38
501 H Jacksonville State 10- 2 8 0 +++ 8.10
502 H Jacksonville State 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.90
503 H Jacksonville State 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.90
508 H New Mexico State 14- 8 6 4 1.90
509 H New Mexico State 9- 1 8 4 + 3.90
510 H New Mexico State 7- 6 1 4 - -3.10
514 H Charleston 5- 9 -4 4 --- -7.87
515 H North Florida 5- 4 1 4 - -2.52
516 A Kennesaw State 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.95
521 A Kennesaw State 6- 4 2 1 1.05
529 A Arkansas 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.11
530 H Northeastern 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.55
530 H Northeastern 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.55
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Southeast Missouri Sta 6-13 -7 2 --- -8.99 419 H Western Kentucky 5-10 -5 3 --- -7.63 421 A Arkansas 4-12 -8 -2 --- -6.11 502 H Jacksonville State 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.90 503 H Jacksonville State 4-11 -7 0 --- -6.90 514 H Charleston 5- 9 -4 4 --- -7.87 516 A Kennesaw State 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.95 530 H Northeastern 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.55 530 H Northeastern 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.55 315 A Liberty 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -5.48 428 A Eastern Michigan 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.38 215 A Louisiana 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.55 303 H Saint Mary's 7- 7 0 2 - -2.41 322 H Middle Tennessee 10- 9 1 4 - -2.55 403 H Sam Houston 9- 8 1 4 - -2.54 510 H New Mexico State 7- 6 1 4 - -3.10 515 H North Florida 5- 4 1 4 - -2.52 529 A Arkansas 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Oral Roberts 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.32 306 A Stetson 12- 1 11 3 +++ 8.13 307 H Memphis 14- 5 9 3 +++ 6.39 321 A Western Kentucky 14- 2 12 1 +++ 10.72 324 H Oklahoma State 16- 2 14 0 +++ 14.26 404 H Sam Houston 15- 5 10 4 +++ 6.46 405 H Sam Houston 12- 0 12 4 +++ 8.46 501 H Jacksonville State 10- 2 8 0 +++ 8.10 213 A Louisiana 8- 2 6 1 ++ 5.45 224 H Oral Roberts 13- 1 12 6 ++ 5.97 410 H UC Riverside 14- 3 11 7 + 3.62 417 H Western Kentucky 15-10 5 3 + 2.37 509 H New Mexico State 9- 1 8 4 + 3.90 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 8- 2 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.57 16.20
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 13-12 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.57 16.20
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 7- 9 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.57 -1.18
3 A Oral Roberts ( 6-15, 91.0) 11- 0 -8.95 9.48 0.68 0.57 11.52
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 6- 2 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.57 14.07
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 6 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.57 -0.44
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.57 -0.44
3 H Oral Roberts ( 6-15, 91.0) 13- 1 -8.95 9.48 -0.68 0.57 9.99
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 8- 5 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.57 13.37
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 7- 5 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.57 13.37
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 9- 4 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.57 13.37
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 7- 7 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 0.57 0.00
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 12- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.57 13.57
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 14- 5 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.57 13.86
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 13-12 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.57 13.86
3 A Southeast Miss ( 4- 6, 93.6) 6-13 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.57 17.41
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 12-11 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.57 17.41
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 3- 9 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.57 -0.87
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 6- 4 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.57 12.80
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 14- 2 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.57 15.37
3 H Middle Tenness (27-30, 93.4) 10- 9 -6.47 11.96 -0.68 0.57 12.80
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 16- 2 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.57 17.12
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 15-14 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.57 17.43
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 9- 8 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.57 12.81
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 15- 5 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.57 12.81
3 H Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 12- 0 -6.46 11.97 -0.68 0.57 12.81
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 2- 3 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.57 -0.98
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 14- 3 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.57 8.45
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 15-10 -7.76 10.67 0.68 0.57 12.86
3 A Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 9- 6 -7.76 10.67 0.68 0.57 12.86
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 15-10 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.57 13.84
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 8- 6 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.57 13.84
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 5-10 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.57 -1.76
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 4-12 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.57 -0.48
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 5- 6 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.57 -1.29
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 8- 9 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.57 -1.29
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 6- 4 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.57 9.58
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 10- 2 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.57 16.94
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 2-10 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.57 -0.99
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 4-11 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.57 -0.99
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 14- 8 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.57 12.17
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 9- 1 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.57 12.17
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 7- 6 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.57 12.17
3 H Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 5- 9 -6.79 11.64 -0.68 0.57 -2.12
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 5- 4 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.57 12.83
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 6-12 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.57 -1.29
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 6- 4 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.57 15.74
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 5- 9 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.57 -0.48
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1- 5 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.57 -1.74
3 H Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 1- 5 -5.47 12.95 -0.68 0.57 -1.74
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431.90
|
winning pts = 451.5828 losing points = -19.6830
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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